Maybe if you sent some of the storm down here to us in Dallas, you'd be safe - and have internet - and we'd finally get some rain after weeks of sunny, dry weather with temperatures usually over 100.
Storm came through E TN, about 80,000 w/o power in Knox and surrounding counties. Mine was out for only about 2 hours which is minimal considering I am very rural with lines bisecting woods, streams, and areas nearly impossible for line crews to reach. Good luck and hope you stay safe w/o any damage.
Though you won’t be able to read this now, your message strike a responsive cord in your devotees.
But it’s not just you, Stacey and the kattens we care about. You have engendered an online “community of concern”, and that’s helpful in these alienating and disturbing times.
I am literally on this particular column to expedite sending your "pushback" comment about the "wasted 400 pages" to a friend I have known since h.s., now living in Los Gatos, CA. who is obsessing about, or just deeply involved in, "trimming" his own posts and other online communications.
That's because for some reason trying to drag links strictly within my Opera browser, from this site for example, to an email to Jon or anyone else, just "stopped working" in June, meaning I have to have Lucian's site/column with the URL address in Opera, and Gmail open in some other browser. Anyway it was your comment-reply to LKTIV I immediately that of as summing up very useful advice for him (and any writer) so a vicarious "thanks" from Jon in Los Gatos!
Now I will locate that reply of your, Susanna and send it.
When it comes to online comments, e.g., on Substack, I think length can be an issue -- IOW, looking for ways to trim isn't a bad idea. But let friend Jon know that *paragraphing* is a big help to the reader esp. if one tends to write long (that would often be me).
Here's another one while we hope for the best and returned internet in NE Pennsylvania, from a Substack blog to which Lucian has favorably referred, emptywheel, on nightmare problem facing
prosecutors dealing with one of Trump's most dubious attorneys:
TRUMP’S MEANS OF BULLYING AND HIS CO-CONSPIRATOR VOLUNTEER LAWYERS
August 8, 2023/24 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, January 6 Insurrection /by emptywheel
"There were three developments in the dispute over the protective order in Trump’s January 6 indictment yesterday.
Trump’s team filed their response to Judge Tanya Chutkan’s order and the government’s motion for a protective order, including not just a redline of the government’s proposed protective order, but also a rant claiming that Dark Brandon made public comments about Trump’s indictment he did not.
The government’s reply used John Lauro’s five Sunday show appearances to demonstrate that Trump is explicitly demanding to try this case in the public sphere rather than the courtroom.
Then Judge Chutkan issued an order that they find time for a hearing on this this week."
Batten down the hatches and stay safe. Meantime this short simple sentence says it all "Andrew Weissmann (weissmann11 on Threads)🌻 @AWeissmann_Aug 6
Trump’s advice of counsel defense at bottom is as outlandish as this: "a lawyer told me I could overthrow the government so I’m not guilty of overthrowing the government".
Exactly, Mother Earth loves predictability in her climate and habitats for all creatures great and small, not the equally predictable wild disequilibriums spurred by humans pumping billions of tons of heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere of our third planet from the local sun!
Here is a summary of global warming and climate change myths, sorted by recent popularity vs what science says. Click the response for a more detailed response. You can also view them sorted by taxonomy, by popularity, in a print-friendly version, with short URLs or with fixed numbers you can use for permanent references.
Climate Myth vs What the Science Says
1 "Climate's changed before" Climate reacts to whatever forces it to change at the time; humans are now the dominant forcing.
2 "It's the sun"
In the last 35 years of global warming, sun and climate have been going in opposite directions
3 "It's not bad"
Negative impacts of global warming on agriculture, health & environment far outweigh any positives.
4 "There is no consensus"
97% of climate experts agree humans are causing global warming.
5 "It's cooling"
The last decade 2000-2009 was the hottest on record.
6 "Models are unreliable"
Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean.
7 "Temp record is unreliable" The warming trend is the same in rural and urban areas, measured by thermometers and satellites.
8 "Animals and plants can adapt"
Global warming will cause mass extinctions of species that cannot adapt on short time scales.
9 "It hasn't warmed since 1998"
Every part of the Earth's climate system has continued warming since 1998, with 2015 shattering temperature records.
10 "Antarctica is gaining ice"
Satellites measure Antarctica losing land ice at an accelerating rate.
11 "Ice age predicted in the 70s"
The vast majority of climate papers in the 1970s predicted warming.
12 "CO2 lags temperature"
CO2 didn't initiate warming from past ice ages but it did amplify the warming.
13 "Climate sensitivity is low"
Net positive feedback is confirmed by many different lines of evidence.
14 "We're heading into an ice age" Worry about global warming impacts in the next 100 years, not an ice age in over 10,000 years.
Recent studies agree that recent global temperatures are unprecedented in the last 1000 years.
17 "Climategate CRU emails suggest conspiracy"
A number of investigations have cleared scientists of any wrongdoing in the media-hyped email incident.
18 "Hurricanes aren't linked to global warming" There is increasing evidence that hurricanes are getting stronger due to global warming.
19 "Al Gore got it wrong"
Al Gore's book is quite accurate, and far more accurate than contrarian books.
20 "Glaciers are growing"
Most glaciers are retreating, posing a serious problem for millions who rely on glaciers for water.
***** Had to edit this down to semi-manageable proportions, but these little summary sketches are useful starting points for interested researchers! *****
210 "IPCC global warming projections were wrong"
Global surface temperature measurements have fallen within the range of IPCC model projections.
211 "Monckton shows the IPCC overestimated warming" *
212 "No long tail means climate sensitivity is low"
New studies showing climate sensitivity may not be high fail to account for the accelerated warming in the deep ocean, but their estimates are nevertheless within the IPCC expected range.
213 "Northwest passage has been navigated in the past"
In the mid-20th Century, traversing the Northwest Passage was a difficult and dangerous endeavor, whereas today, virtually anyone can accomplish the passage.
214 "Nuclear testing is causing global warming"
CO2 warming is 10,000 times greater than the energy from every nuclear bomb ever exploded.
215 "Planting a trillion trees will solve global warming"
Maximum afforestation and reforestation (close to a trillion new trees) would sequester around 75 billion tons of carbon, which is 7–8 years of annual human emissions at current rates and enough to slow global warming by less than a quarter degree Celsius.
216 "Satellite record is more reliable than thermometers"
Thermometers are more reliable than satellites, so there!
217 "The connection between Hurricane Sandy and global warming"
There are several ways in which human-caused global warming contributed to the damage caused by Hurricane Sandy - by causing higher sea levels (bigger storm surges and flooding), warmer oceans (a stronger hurricane), and more moisture in the air (more flooding).
218 "Tropical thermostat limits sea surface temperature to 30°C" There is no compelling physical justification to suggest that negative feedbacks restrict sea surface temperature to some maximum.
219 "Veganism is the best way to reduce carbon emissions"
Veganism has the potential to reduce global GHG emissions; however, it is not the only option and may not be the most achievable.
Many thanks to Dr. Jan Dash, Director of the UU-UNO's Climate Portal for writing many of the one line responses in 'What the Science Says', with some edits by John Cook.
{{This is a systematic demolition of Monckton's preposterous, ungrounded claims about climate science and the effects of global heating, and thus, potential global ecocide}}
Credentials
According to George Monbiot at The Guardian, Monckton “has a degree in classics and a diploma in journalism and, as far as I can tell, no further qualifications.” [1]
Background
Christopher Walter Monckton, the third Viscount Monckton of Brenchely, is a former British politician affiliated with the UK Independence Party. He was a former advisor to UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and was a “special advisor to Thatcher’s Downing Street policy unit” in the 1980s.
Monckton’s first claim to fame was his creation of the “eternity puzzle,” a board game that Monckton believed was so challenging that he offered 1 million euros to the first person to solve it. To his surprise, the eternity puzzle was solved in 16 months. [2], [3]
While Monckton’s educational background is in journalism, he has been credited by many think tanks as an expert in the field of global warming. [4]
For example, his archived profile at the Science and Public Policy Institute (SPPI) states: [5]
“His [Monckton’s] contribution to the IPCC‘s Fourth Assessment Report in 2007 – the correction of a table inserted by IPCC bureaucrats that had overstated tenfold the observed contribution of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets to sea-level rise – earned him the status of Nobel Peace Laureate. His Nobel prize pin, made of gold recovered from a physics experiment, was presented to him by the Emeritus Professor of Physics at the University of Rochester, New York, USA.”
Monckton later conceded that claiming to be a Nobel Peace Laureate was “a joke, a joke” and “never meant to be taken seriously.” But the above claim remained on the SPPI website until at least Oct, 2011. [6] The claim has since been taken down from Monckton’s SPPI profile. [7]
Yikes! Stay safe!!
Maybe if you sent some of the storm down here to us in Dallas, you'd be safe - and have internet - and we'd finally get some rain after weeks of sunny, dry weather with temperatures usually over 100.
Stay safe, batten down the hatches.
No! I count on you to interpret everything going on. Oh, OK, and be safe. But come back soon!
Be safe.
Storm came through E TN, about 80,000 w/o power in Knox and surrounding counties. Mine was out for only about 2 hours which is minimal considering I am very rural with lines bisecting woods, streams, and areas nearly impossible for line crews to reach. Good luck and hope you stay safe w/o any damage.
Though you won’t be able to read this now, your message strike a responsive cord in your devotees.
But it’s not just you, Stacey and the kattens we care about. You have engendered an online “community of concern”, and that’s helpful in these alienating and disturbing times.
Stay safe and stay tuned!
We await your return!
Looks serious!
PS. I will keep reading your book.
Good luck and take care!
I was wondering why we haven't gotten anything from you recently. Your writing is so fantastic. Looking forward to it.
I'll miss you, but I'm deep in _Dress Gray_ so I think I'll survive. :-)
I am literally on this particular column to expedite sending your "pushback" comment about the "wasted 400 pages" to a friend I have known since h.s., now living in Los Gatos, CA. who is obsessing about, or just deeply involved in, "trimming" his own posts and other online communications.
That's because for some reason trying to drag links strictly within my Opera browser, from this site for example, to an email to Jon or anyone else, just "stopped working" in June, meaning I have to have Lucian's site/column with the URL address in Opera, and Gmail open in some other browser. Anyway it was your comment-reply to LKTIV I immediately that of as summing up very useful advice for him (and any writer) so a vicarious "thanks" from Jon in Los Gatos!
Now I will locate that reply of your, Susanna and send it.
When it comes to online comments, e.g., on Substack, I think length can be an issue -- IOW, looking for ways to trim isn't a bad idea. But let friend Jon know that *paragraphing* is a big help to the reader esp. if one tends to write long (that would often be me).
Got cocoa? Stay safe and enjoy a break.
Cocoa?! Is that what people drink when there are wicked rains?
It's as good a cover story as any.
Where are you? We’re in extreme NE Ga. Scary winds and power oury
Here's another one while we hope for the best and returned internet in NE Pennsylvania, from a Substack blog to which Lucian has favorably referred, emptywheel, on nightmare problem facing
prosecutors dealing with one of Trump's most dubious attorneys:
www.emptywheel.net/2023/08/08/trumps-co-conspirator-volunteer-lawyers-and-their-means-of-bullying/
TRUMP’S MEANS OF BULLYING AND HIS CO-CONSPIRATOR VOLUNTEER LAWYERS
August 8, 2023/24 Comments/in 2020 Presidential Election, January 6 Insurrection /by emptywheel
"There were three developments in the dispute over the protective order in Trump’s January 6 indictment yesterday.
Trump’s team filed their response to Judge Tanya Chutkan’s order and the government’s motion for a protective order, including not just a redline of the government’s proposed protective order, but also a rant claiming that Dark Brandon made public comments about Trump’s indictment he did not.
The government’s reply used John Lauro’s five Sunday show appearances to demonstrate that Trump is explicitly demanding to try this case in the public sphere rather than the courtroom.
Then Judge Chutkan issued an order that they find time for a hearing on this this week."
Batten down the hatches and stay safe. Meantime this short simple sentence says it all "Andrew Weissmann (weissmann11 on Threads)🌻 @AWeissmann_Aug 6
Trump’s advice of counsel defense at bottom is as outlandish as this: "a lawyer told me I could overthrow the government so I’m not guilty of overthrowing the government".
Hang tight! Mother Earth is pissed at mankind and with good reason.I hope we hear from you with good tidings soon.
Exactly, Mother Earth loves predictability in her climate and habitats for all creatures great and small, not the equally predictable wild disequilibriums spurred by humans pumping billions of tons of heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere of our third planet from the local sun!
skepticalscience.com/argument.php
Global Warming & Climate Change Myths
Here is a summary of global warming and climate change myths, sorted by recent popularity vs what science says. Click the response for a more detailed response. You can also view them sorted by taxonomy, by popularity, in a print-friendly version, with short URLs or with fixed numbers you can use for permanent references.
Climate Myth vs What the Science Says
1 "Climate's changed before" Climate reacts to whatever forces it to change at the time; humans are now the dominant forcing.
2 "It's the sun"
In the last 35 years of global warming, sun and climate have been going in opposite directions
3 "It's not bad"
Negative impacts of global warming on agriculture, health & environment far outweigh any positives.
4 "There is no consensus"
97% of climate experts agree humans are causing global warming.
5 "It's cooling"
The last decade 2000-2009 was the hottest on record.
6 "Models are unreliable"
Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean.
7 "Temp record is unreliable" The warming trend is the same in rural and urban areas, measured by thermometers and satellites.
8 "Animals and plants can adapt"
Global warming will cause mass extinctions of species that cannot adapt on short time scales.
9 "It hasn't warmed since 1998"
Every part of the Earth's climate system has continued warming since 1998, with 2015 shattering temperature records.
10 "Antarctica is gaining ice"
Satellites measure Antarctica losing land ice at an accelerating rate.
11 "Ice age predicted in the 70s"
The vast majority of climate papers in the 1970s predicted warming.
12 "CO2 lags temperature"
CO2 didn't initiate warming from past ice ages but it did amplify the warming.
13 "Climate sensitivity is low"
Net positive feedback is confirmed by many different lines of evidence.
14 "We're heading into an ice age" Worry about global warming impacts in the next 100 years, not an ice age in over 10,000 years.
15 "Ocean acidification isn't serious"
Ocean acidification threatens entire marine food chains.
16 "Hockey stick is broken"
Recent studies agree that recent global temperatures are unprecedented in the last 1000 years.
17 "Climategate CRU emails suggest conspiracy"
A number of investigations have cleared scientists of any wrongdoing in the media-hyped email incident.
18 "Hurricanes aren't linked to global warming" There is increasing evidence that hurricanes are getting stronger due to global warming.
19 "Al Gore got it wrong"
Al Gore's book is quite accurate, and far more accurate than contrarian books.
20 "Glaciers are growing"
Most glaciers are retreating, posing a serious problem for millions who rely on glaciers for water.
***** Had to edit this down to semi-manageable proportions, but these little summary sketches are useful starting points for interested researchers! *****
210 "IPCC global warming projections were wrong"
Global surface temperature measurements have fallen within the range of IPCC model projections.
211 "Monckton shows the IPCC overestimated warming" *
212 "No long tail means climate sensitivity is low"
New studies showing climate sensitivity may not be high fail to account for the accelerated warming in the deep ocean, but their estimates are nevertheless within the IPCC expected range.
213 "Northwest passage has been navigated in the past"
In the mid-20th Century, traversing the Northwest Passage was a difficult and dangerous endeavor, whereas today, virtually anyone can accomplish the passage.
214 "Nuclear testing is causing global warming"
CO2 warming is 10,000 times greater than the energy from every nuclear bomb ever exploded.
215 "Planting a trillion trees will solve global warming"
Maximum afforestation and reforestation (close to a trillion new trees) would sequester around 75 billion tons of carbon, which is 7–8 years of annual human emissions at current rates and enough to slow global warming by less than a quarter degree Celsius.
216 "Satellite record is more reliable than thermometers"
Thermometers are more reliable than satellites, so there!
217 "The connection between Hurricane Sandy and global warming"
There are several ways in which human-caused global warming contributed to the damage caused by Hurricane Sandy - by causing higher sea levels (bigger storm surges and flooding), warmer oceans (a stronger hurricane), and more moisture in the air (more flooding).
218 "Tropical thermostat limits sea surface temperature to 30°C" There is no compelling physical justification to suggest that negative feedbacks restrict sea surface temperature to some maximum.
219 "Veganism is the best way to reduce carbon emissions"
Veganism has the potential to reduce global GHG emissions; however, it is not the only option and may not be the most achievable.
Many thanks to Dr. Jan Dash, Director of the UU-UNO's Climate Portal for writing many of the one line responses in 'What the Science Says', with some edits by John Cook.
*www.desmog.com/christopher-monckton/
{{This is a systematic demolition of Monckton's preposterous, ungrounded claims about climate science and the effects of global heating, and thus, potential global ecocide}}
Credentials
According to George Monbiot at The Guardian, Monckton “has a degree in classics and a diploma in journalism and, as far as I can tell, no further qualifications.” [1]
Background
Christopher Walter Monckton, the third Viscount Monckton of Brenchely, is a former British politician affiliated with the UK Independence Party. He was a former advisor to UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and was a “special advisor to Thatcher’s Downing Street policy unit” in the 1980s.
Monckton’s first claim to fame was his creation of the “eternity puzzle,” a board game that Monckton believed was so challenging that he offered 1 million euros to the first person to solve it. To his surprise, the eternity puzzle was solved in 16 months. [2], [3]
While Monckton’s educational background is in journalism, he has been credited by many think tanks as an expert in the field of global warming. [4]
For example, his archived profile at the Science and Public Policy Institute (SPPI) states: [5]
“His [Monckton’s] contribution to the IPCC‘s Fourth Assessment Report in 2007 – the correction of a table inserted by IPCC bureaucrats that had overstated tenfold the observed contribution of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets to sea-level rise – earned him the status of Nobel Peace Laureate. His Nobel prize pin, made of gold recovered from a physics experiment, was presented to him by the Emeritus Professor of Physics at the University of Rochester, New York, USA.”
Monckton later conceded that claiming to be a Nobel Peace Laureate was “a joke, a joke” and “never meant to be taken seriously.” But the above claim remained on the SPPI website until at least Oct, 2011. [6] The claim has since been taken down from Monckton’s SPPI profile. [7]