New poll shows Trump Republican Party bleeding voters

Pew Research came out with a new poll last week using validated voter data from the 2020 election and compared it to polling done after the 2018 and 2016 elections.  The news was not good for Republicans.

Pew matched respondents to a registration database giving them information about whether the polled voters actually turned out to vote.  The poll yielded data that is considered more accurate than either pre-election or exit polling.  The poll’s only positive news for Republicans confirmed that Trump had made minor gains among Latino and Black voters, figures that had already been revealed by exit polling.

But Pew’s numbers confirmed Republican problems when it comes to voters’ age.  The poll showed that Trump beat Biden with voters over 65 by only five points, while Biden beat Trump among voters 18 to 29 by a decisive margin of 20 points.

The group Trump carried by the largest margin, 16 points, were the oldest voters, those 75 and older whom Pew calls the “Silent generation.” But among all voters over 65, Trump beat Biden by only 4 points, indicating that the older voters got, the more of them voted Republican.  It doesn’t take a genius to see who is more likely to be alive among seniors come 2022 or 2024. 

The news for Republicans among every group under 65 is terrible.  Democrats had a slight gain in support among Boomers, and Pew’s poll had a two percent gain among millennials from 2016 to 2020, so Republicans are shedding voters in both of those important demographics.  Neither millennials nor Gen Z voters appear likely to move rightward in the next four years.  The Harvard Youth Poll had 54 percent of voters between 18 and 29 rating Trump negatively, and fully 30 percent of them think Trump was the “worst president ever.”    

Two ancillary figures stood out for me:  68 percent of people 18-29 believe Biden won the election fairly, and only 18 percent of them watch Fox News, the main source of Republican disinformation.  Demonizing an obscure academic discipline like Critical Race Theory, attacking Democrats for being “woke,” and promoting Trump’s Big Lie that he won the election last year – the main Republican strategies that Fox is pushing heavily for 2022 and 2024 – don’t stand much of a chance among the young voters Republicans desperately need to win.  You would think they would come up with something positive to give them hope for the future and a reason to vote Republican.

Problem is, to the Trump Republican Party, the future is just one more hoax being pushed by libs.